Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.373447 0.431116 0.493829 0.566974 0.649821 0.740617 0.847532
2025-10-05 0.281390 0.361684 0.457568 0.579928 0.731284 0.911679 1.142221
2025-10-12 0.236676 0.329255 0.447622 0.608754 0.820881 1.088918 1.451282
2025-10-19 0.201802 0.299986 0.432849 0.623580 0.887707 1.237480 1.731971
2025-10-26 0.173285 0.273249 0.415483 0.629380 0.938864 1.365542 1.992164
2025-11-02 0.149166 0.248347 0.396097 0.627854 0.976657 1.475120 2.232255
2025-11-09 0.128027 0.224382 0.374249 0.618748 1.000381 1.564024 2.446877
2025-11-16 0.110781 0.203837 0.354581 0.609715 1.021646 1.648798 2.659182
2025-11-23 0.094333 0.182087 0.330011 0.589473 1.022283 1.700683 2.823363
2025-11-30 0.089527 0.179843 0.337192 0.621420 1.108369 1.889916 3.211710
2025-12-07 0.077689 0.163104 0.317417 0.605270 1.112955 1.948919 3.396217
2025-12-14 0.067395 0.147762 0.298199 0.587726 1.112870 1.999102 3.568117
2025-12-21 0.058781 0.134662 0.281876 0.574205 1.119427 2.062217 3.768561
2025-12-28 0.054453 0.129742 0.280530 0.588353 1.176724 2.216023 4.133498
2026-01-04 0.052190 0.128861 0.286897 0.617642 1.263842 2.427140 4.610268
2026-01-11 0.048675 0.124701 0.286120 0.632671 1.325079 2.595813 5.022063
2026-01-18 0.044683 0.118850 0.281117 0.638549 1.368889 2.735254 5.389227
2026-01-25 0.040513 0.111933 0.272987 0.637003 1.397628 2.848106 5.713729
2026-02-01 0.036226 0.104057 0.261805 0.627776 1.409943 2.930391 5.985759
2026-02-08 0.032436 0.096831 0.251202 0.618623 1.421370 3.011186 6.258980
2026-02-15 0.028358 0.088170 0.236210 0.598113 1.407129 3.040609 6.434816
2026-02-22 0.027847 0.089111 0.244191 0.630484 1.507941 3.303569 7.078950
2026-03-01 0.024650 0.082019 0.231716 0.614120 1.501540 3.350395 7.299135